Roy Spencer

Roy Spencer's Opinions

Evolution Did complex life evolve through the process of natural selection? Mostly Disagree Twenty years ago, as a PhD scientist, I intensely studied the evolution versus intelligent design controversy for about two years. And finally, despite my previous acceptance of evolutionary theory as "fact," I came to the realization that intelligent design, as a theory of origins, is no more religious, and no less scientific, than evolutionism. The Convert Pitch   The Equivalence Pitch   Edit Pitches 08 Aug 2005    Source Should Intelligent Design be taught in science class? Agree If the public school system insists on teaching evolution as a theory of origins, in the view of many a religious activity, why is it discriminating against the only other theory of origins, intelligent design? (There is, by the way, no third theory of origins that anyone has ever been able to determine.) At the very least, school textbooks should acknowledge that evolution is a theory of origins, it has not been proved, and that many scientists do not accept it. Edit Pitches 08 Aug 2005    Source Religion Must God exist to explain how the universe began? Agree All naturalistic cosmological theories of origins must invent physics that have never been observed by science -- because the "Big Bang" can't be explained based upon current physics. A naturalistic origin of the universe violates either the First or Second Laws of thermodynamics -- or both. So, is this science? Or faith? The Common Sense Pitch   The Ignored Evidence Pitch   Edit Pitches 08 Aug 2005    Source Global Warming Do negative feedback loops mostly cushion the effect of atmospheric CO2 increases? Mostly Agree The real climate system appears to be dominated by “negative feedbacks” -- instead of the “positive feedbacks” which are displayed by all twenty computerized climate models utilized by the IPCC. Edit Pitches 22 Jul 2008    Source Is global warming caused primarily by humans? Mostly Disagree I predict that in the coming years, there will be a growing realization among the global warming research community that most of the climate change we have observed is natural, and that mankind’s role is relatively minor. The Growing Realization Pitch   Edit Pitches 22 Jul 2008    Source Will IPCC climate models make accurate predictions? Disagree Where the IPCC has departed from science is that they have become advocates for one particular set of hypotheses, and have become militant fighters against all others. They could have made their case much stronger if, in addition to [existing models], they would have put just as much work into model formulations that predicted very little warming. If those models could not be made to act as realistically as those that do produce a lot of warming, then their arguments would carry more weight. Edit Pitches 23 May 2010    Source

Climatology Is it possible to accurately predict climate? Mostly Agree And now my old boss when I was at NASA (as well as James Hansen’s old boss), John Theon, has stated very clearly that he doesn’t believe global warming is manmade…and adding “climate models are useless” for good measure. Even I wouldn’t go quite that far, since I use simple ones in my published research. The Admirable Admission Pitch   Edit Pitches 29 Jan 2009    Source Does unpredictable weather imply unpredictable climate? Agree The climate modelers assume there is no such thing as natural climate variability…at least not on time scales beyond maybe ten years. In effect, they believe that chaos only exists in weather, not in climate. But this view is entirely arbitrary, and there is an abundance of evidence that it is just plain wrong. Chaos occurs on all time scales. Climate change happens, with or without our help. The Ignored Evidence Pitch   Edit Pitches 30 Mar 2009    Source Has CO2 passively lagged temperature in past climates? Mostly Agree But it has often been noted that the Vostok CO2 record lags the temperature record by an average of 800 years, which is somewhat of a problem for Hansen’s theory. After all, if CO2 “took over” as the main driver of temperature, why do the CO2 changes tend to come after the temperature changes? The Common Sense Pitch   Edit Pitches 17 Jun 2009    Source Is the IPCC objective? Disagree Unquestionably, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was formed to build the scientific case for humanity being the primary cause of global warming. Such a goal is fundamentally unscientific, as it is hostile to alternative hypotheses for the causes of climate change. The most glaring example of this bias has been the lack of interest on the IPCC’s part in figuring out to what extent climate change is simply the result of natural, internal cycles in the climate system. Edit Pitches 18 Oct 2009    Source

Comparisons with Other Experts and Influencers

The similarity between Roy Spencer and each expert and influencer is calculated by looking at how the same questions were answered. These figures are used to calculate conforming, nonconforming, and projected opinions. The accuracy of the analysis depends on Roy Spencer's coverage, which grows with the number of their opinions entered into TakeOnIt.

Conforming Opinions

Roy Spencer's conforming opinions are opinions that align with the group of experts and influencers Roy Spencer typically agrees with.

Nonconforming Opinions

Roy Spencer's nonconforming opinions are opinions that contradict the group of experts and influencers Roy Spencer typically agrees with.

Projected Opinions

Roy Spencer's projected opinions are opinions Roy Spencer is expected to have if their opinions align with the experts and influencers that they typically agree with.